Atkins, University of Aberdeen
ISBN 978 0 7559 7629 4 (Web only publication)
This document is also available in pdf format (728k)
CONTENTS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
A Commitment to Mitigating Climate Change
Methodology
Key Findings
Policy Options
Abatement Potential of Individual Policy Options
Annual Abatement
Cumulative Abatement
Cost Effectiveness and Marginal Abatement Cost Curve ( MACC)
Abatement Potential by Scenario
Abatement Beyond 2022
1 INTRODUCTION
A Commitment to Mitigating Climate Change
Our Approach
Preliminary Report
Final Report
2 STUDY METHODOLOGY
Seven Stages
Preliminary Report
Establishment of Baseline and BAU Scenario
Highway Emissions
Cars and Goods Vehicles
Bus Fleet
Rail Emissions
Aviation and Shipping Emissions
Estimated Future Year Baseline Emissions
Detailed Assessment of Measures
Policy Development
Abatement Potential
Costs of Policy Options
Cost Effectiveness and MAC Curve
Ancillary Impacts
Deliverability
Packaging and Appraisal of Potential Policy Packages
Package Effects
Two Packages of Policy Options
Developing the Central and Ambitious Scenarios
Assessment of Impacts
3 POLICY OPTIONS
Technology Options
Electric car technology & network development (53)
Procurement of low carbon vehicles (109)
Driving Style
Active traffic management (1)
National motoring package (98)
Speed reduction on trunk roads (143)
Car Demand Management (Fiscal / Infrastructure)
Bus/ rapid/ mass transit infrastructure investment (including bus priority) (15)
Cycle infrastructure investment (37)
Walking infrastructure investment (131a)
Bus/ LRT fares reductions (127)
Rail investment (115)
High speed rail links (75)
National network of car clubs (97)
National road user charging (Scotland) (99)
Workplace parking levy (172)
Introduction or increase in parking charges (public parking) (103)
Introduction/raise in residential/private parking charges (125)
Car Demand Management (Smart Measures)
Widespread implementation of travel plans (173)
Provide community hubs (204)
Bus quality contracts / statutory partnerships (18)
Freight
Freight best practice (63)
Land Use Planning
Urban density increases (158)
Aviation
Improve public transport surface access to airports (205c)
4 POLICY ASSESSMENT
Abatement Potential by Policy Option
Annual Abatement
Mechanisms for Abatement
Cumulative Abatement
Cost Effectiveness and Marginal Abatement Cost Curve ( MACC)
Embodied Carbon
Ancillary Impacts and Deliverability
Abatement Potential by Scenario
Abatement Beyond 2022
Next Steps
Appendix A: Key Modelling Assumptions
1) Database of TMfS Matrices
2) Travel Cost Response Database
3) Emissions/Fleet Spreadsheet
4) Offline Calculations
Summary Tables of Modelling Assumptions
Appendix B: Marginal Abatement Cost Curves
Appendix C: Ancillary Impacts and Deliverability
Appendix D: Do Minimum and Reference Case Assumptions
The views expressed in this report are those of the researcher and
do not necessarily represent those of the Department or Scottish Ministers.