ANNEX 1: RESULTS OF STATISTICAL MODELS
The four logistic regression models commented on in this report are presented below. Logistic regression uses binary dependent variables where the value of interest is coded 1 and the rest of the cases are coded 0. The binary dependent variable coding is shown at start of each table. This analysis method compares the parameter estimates for each category within a variable to a "reference" category. The reference category for each variable is shown in brackets. Two asterisks (**) denote significance at the 1% level, one (*) denotes significance at the 5% level.
Table 1 Knowledge of the Scottish Executive's activities over the past year
Dependent variable coding: 1= A great deal / quite a lot 0=other answers | B | S.E. | Odds ratio Exp(B) | |
|---|
Age (18-29) |
|---|
30-44 | 0.433 | 0.230 | 1.541 | |
|---|
45-64 | 1.014 | 0.224 | 2.757 | ** |
|---|
65+ | 1.064 | 0.252 | 2.898 | ** |
|---|
Women (men) | -0.428 | 0.140 | 0.652 | ** |
|---|
Self-rated hardship (having difficulty) |
|---|
Living very comfortably | 0.164 | 0.323 | 1.178 | |
|---|
Living comfortably | 0.559 | 0.253 | 1.750 | * |
|---|
Coping | 0.680 | 0.248 | 1.974 | ** |
|---|
NS- SEC (routine occupations) |
|---|
Employers, managers & professionals | 0.614 | 0.194 | 1.848 | ** |
|---|
Intermediate occupations | -0.059 | 0.260 | 0.943 | |
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Small employers & own account workers | 0.506 | 0.258 | 1.659 | * |
|---|
Lower supervisory & technical | 0.088 | 0.225 | 1.092 | |
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Urban-rural (large urban) |
|---|
Other urban | -0.299 | 0.160 | 0.741 | |
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Small accessible towns | -0.100 | 0.232 | 0.905 | |
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Small remote towns | -0.885 | 0.447 | 0.413 | * |
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Accessible rural | -0.049 | 0.224 | 0.952 | |
|---|
Remote rural | 0.493 | 0.285 | 1.638 | |
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Highest educational qualification (none) |
|---|
Degree / Higher education | 0.855 | 0.231 | 2.353 | ** |
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Highers / A levels | 0.994 | 0.245 | 2.701 | ** |
|---|
Standard grades / O levels | 0.796 | 0.206 | 2.216 | ** |
|---|
Interest in politics (none at all) |
|---|
A great deal | 2.664 | 0.383 | 14.350 | ** |
|---|
Quite a lot | 2.334 | 0.347 | 10.316 | ** |
|---|
Some | 1.364 | 0.340 | 3.912 | ** |
|---|
Not very much | 0.818 | 0.355 | 2.266 | * |
|---|
Constant | -1.328 | 0.140 | 0.265 | |
|---|
Number of cases in model: 1460
Table 2 Trust in the Scottish Executive to work in Scotland's best interests
Dependent variable coding: 1= Just about always / most of the time 0=other answers | B | S.E. | Odds ratio Exp(B) | |
|---|
Age (18-29) |
|---|
30-44 | -0.416 | 0.188 | 0.660 | * |
|---|
45-64 | -0.596 | 0.195 | 0.551 | ** |
|---|
65+ | -0.850 | 0.223 | 0.427 | ** |
|---|
Self-rated hardship (having difficulty) |
|---|
Living very comfortably | 0.305 | 0.258 | 1.356 | |
|---|
Living comfortably | 0.500 | 0.195 | 1.648 | ** |
|---|
Coping | 0.117 | 0.190 | 1.125 | |
|---|
Highest educational qualification (None) |
|---|
Degree / Higher education | 0.445 | 0.181 | 1.560 | ** |
|---|
Highers / A levels | 0.368 | 0.200 | 1.445 | |
|---|
Standard grades / O levels | 0.020 | 0.167 | 1.020 | |
|---|
Party Identification (None) |
|---|
Conservative | 0.848 | 0.246 | 2.336 | ** |
|---|
Labour | 0.836 | 0.199 | 2.308 | ** |
|---|
Liberal Democrat | 1.184 | 0.264 | 3.268 | ** |
|---|
SNP | 0.706 | 0.234 | 2.025 | ** |
|---|
Other party | 0.308 | 0.310 | 1.361 | |
|---|
DK / Ref / Other ans | 0.374 | 0.249 | 1.453 | |
|---|
Constitutional preference (Devolution) |
|---|
Independence | -0.289 | 0.136 | 0.749 | * |
|---|
Westminster rule | -1.064 | 0.170 | 0.345 | ** |
|---|
Don't know | -1.097 | 0.306 | 0.334 | ** |
|---|
Awareness of SE activities (Not much / nothing at all) |
|---|
Great deal / quite a lot | 0.802 | 0.147 | 2.231 | ** |
|---|
Some | 0.601 | 0.140 | 1.825 | ** |
|---|
Newspaper readership (Tabloid) |
|---|
None | 0.331 | 0.133 | 1.392 | ** |
|---|
Broadsheet | 0.336 | 0.167 | 1.399 | * |
|---|
Constant | -0.200 | 0.104 | 0.819 | |
|---|
Number of cases in model: 1450
Table 3 How good is the Scottish Executive at listening to people's views?
Dependent variable coding: 1= Very good / quite good 0=other answers | B | S.E. | Odds ratio Exp(B) | |
|---|
Women (men) | -0.278 | 0.124 | 0.757 | * |
|---|
Highest educational qualification (None) |
|---|
Degree / Higher education | 0.496 | 0.175 | 1.642 | ** |
|---|
Highers / A levels | 0.341 | 0.198 | 1.406 | |
|---|
Standard grades / O levels | 0.166 | 0.182 | 1.180 | |
|---|
Party Identification (None) |
|---|
Conservative | -0.073 | 0.266 | 0.929 | |
|---|
Labour | 0.600 | 0.221 | 1.821 | ** |
|---|
Liberal Democrat | 0.469 | 0.268 | 1.598 | |
|---|
SNP | 0.105 | 0.264 | 1.111 | |
|---|
Other party | 0.403 | 0.338 | 1.497 | |
|---|
DK / Ref / Other ans | 0.143 | 0.286 | 1.153 | |
|---|
Trust SE just about always / most of the time (Some of the time / never) | 1.614 | 0.136 | 5.022 | ** |
|---|
Constant | -1.039 | 0.079 | 0.354 | |
|---|
Number of cases in model: 1460
Table 4 Importance of voting in Scottish Parliament elections
Dependent variable coding: 1= Very important 0=other answers | B | S.E. | Odds ratio Exp(B) | |
|---|
Age (18-29) |
|---|
30-44 | 0.700 | 0.222 | 2.013 | ** |
|---|
45-64 | 1.187 | 0.218 | 3.277 | ** |
|---|
65+ | 1.779 | 0.240 | 5.922 | ** |
|---|
Women (Men) | 0.474 | 0.144 | 1.607 | ** |
|---|
NS- SEC (Routine occupations) |
|---|
Employers, managers & professionals | 0.278 | 0.173 | 1.320 | |
|---|
Intermediate occupations | 0.253 | 0.243 | 1.288 | |
|---|
Small employers & own account workers | -0.577 | 0.275 | 0.561 | * |
|---|
Lower supervisory & technical | -0.267 | 0.216 | 0.766 | |
|---|
Party Identification (None) |
|---|
Conservative | 1.915 | 0.391 | 6.789 | ** |
|---|
Labour | 2.287 | 0.361 | 9.850 | ** |
|---|
Liberal Democrat | 2.055 | 0.400 | 7.808 | ** |
|---|
SNP | 2.518 | 0.392 | 12.408 | ** |
|---|
Other party | 2.258 | 0.443 | 9.566 | ** |
|---|
DK / Ref / Other ans | 1.392 | 0.409 | 4.021 | ** |
|---|
Constitutional preference (Devolution) |
|---|
Independence | -0.103 | 0.159 | 0.902 | |
|---|
Westminster rule | -0.876 | 0.193 | 0.416 | ** |
|---|
Don't know | 0.016 | 0.380 | 1.016 | |
|---|
Interest in politics (None at all) |
|---|
A great deal | 2.945 | 0.374 | 19.003 | ** |
|---|
Quite a lot | 2.171 | 0.306 | 8.763 | ** |
|---|
Some | 1.459 | 0.287 | 4.301 | ** |
|---|
Not very much | 0.527 | 0.294 | 1.694 | |
|---|
Trust SE just about always / most of the time (Trust some of the time / never) | 0.462 | 0.140 | 1.587 | ** |
|---|
Constant | -0.569 | 0.134 | 0.566 | |
|---|
Number of cases in model: 1347