Statistical Bulletin HSG/2002/4 - Household Projections for Scotland: 2000-Based

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Household Projections for Scotland:2000-Based

5.8 Projected Households in Scotland by Structure Plan Area (SPA) and Household Type (Table 8)

Of all the structure plan areas, total households are projected to increase by the largest percentage in Edinburgh and the Lothians SPA, at 19 per cent followed by Stirling and Clackmannanshire (17 per cent). Total Households in Dundee & Angus SPA are projected remain around 114,000 over the 14 year projection period. In all other Local Authorities the total number of households are expected to increase. The largest increase in terms of numbers of households is in Glasgow & the Clyde Valley at 94,610.

All SPAs are projected to have increases in the number of one adult households over the projection period. Stirling and Clackmannanshire SPA is projected to have the largest percentage increase at 39 percent, followed by Highland SPA (38 per cent), Edinburgh and Lothians (38 per cent) and Shetland SPA (37 per cent). The smallest percentage increase is projected in Dundee and Angus (17 per cent increase in one adult households over the projection period).

All SPAs are projected to have increases in the number of one adult with child(ren) households over the projection period. The smallest increase is projected in Eilean Siar (1 per cent), the largest increases are projected to be seen in Stirling and Clackmannanshire SPA (45 per cent) and Edinburgh and Lothians SPA (41 per cent).

Households consisting of two or more adults with child(ren) are projected to decrease in all SPAs over the projection period. This ranges from a 28 per cent (3,430) decrease in Stirling and Clackmannanshire to a 50 per cent (9,520) decrease in Dundee and Angus.

For households consisting of two or more adults and no children all SPAs show projected increases. Edinburgh and the Lothians SPA is projected to have the highest percentage increase at 22 per cent (31,560) followed by Stirling and Clackmannanshire at 21 per cent (4,810), whilst Dundee and Angus SPA is projected to have the smallest percentage increase at 3 per cent (1,290).

Table 8a: Projected Households in Scotland by Structure Plan Area and Household Type (all households)

Structure Plan
Area

Total Households (All Household Types)

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

% change
2000 - 2014

Scotland

2,203,160

2,222,100

2,239,470

2,257,310

2,276,310

2,294,620

2,313,210

2,332,380

2,351,940

2,370,450

2,389,290

2,407,810

2,426,080

2,444,700

2,461,740

12%

Aberdeen and Aberdeenshire

192,190

193,440

194,690

196,050

197,450

198,860

200,160

201,520

202,850

204,080

205,340

206,560

207,720

208,900

209,930

9%

Argyll & Bute

38,320

38,390

38,520

38,690

38,890

39,070

39,260

39,450

39,650

39,830

39,990

40,160

40,300

40,430

40,540

6%

Ayrshire

159,230

160,200

161,010

161,900

162,850

163,740

164,690

165,710

166,670

167,590

168,520

169,400

170,330

171,230

172,050

8%

Dumfries and Galloway

63,700

64,010

64,260

64,580

64,910

65,210

65,490

65,780

66,060

66,320

66,640

66,890

67,140

67,400

67,580

6%

Dundee and Angus

113,900

113,950

113,980

114,060

114,130

114,070

114,010

114,080

114,110

114,120

114,120

114,080

114,030

113,990

113,820

0%

Edinburgh and Lothians

341,930

346,670

351,230

355,690

360,340

364,940

369,550

374,280

379,120

383,840

388,640

393,470

398,350

403,280

408,070

19%

Eilean Siar

11,670

11,710

11,750

11,810

11,880

11,910

11,950

11,980

12,010

12,020

12,030

12,040

12,070

12,070

12,070

3%

Falkirk

61,840

62,410

62,930

63,450

63,990

64,480

65,010

65,600

66,190

66,720

67,240

67,780

68,270

68,800

69,300

12%

Fife

150,750

152,310

153,670

154,920

156,280

157,630

158,950

160,280

161,600

162,910

164,240

165,570

166,880

168,210

169,440

12%

Glasgow and Clyde Valley

768,090

774,900

780,900

787,200

793,970

800,750

807,740

814,750

822,070

828,890

835,940

842,820

849,500

856,400

862,700

12%

Highland

88,760

89,690

90,510

91,320

92,120

92,860

93,630

94,380

95,160

95,890

96,620

97,330

98,030

98,710

99,330

12%

Moray

36,130

36,340

36,510

36,660

36,830

36,980

37,130

37,340

37,520

37,680

37,870

38,040

38,220

38,370

38,510

7%

Orkney

8,240

8,300

8,360

8,410

8,490

8,550

8,590

8,650

8,700

8,740

8,780

8,820

8,840

8,900

8,910

8%

Perth and KInross

57,480

57,830

58,200

58,620

59,080

59,490

59,870

60,300

60,770

61,220

61,630

62,050

62,430

62,850

63,280

10%

Scottish Borders, The

46,480

46,900

47,240

47,570

47,980

48,280

48,610

49,010

49,390

49,760

50,100

50,470

50,840

51,220

51,540

11%

Shetland

9,280

9,290

9,360

9,440

9,510

9,580

9,660

9,760

9,850

9,930

10,000

10,070

10,160

10,220

10,290

11%

Stirling and Clackmannanshire

55,160

55,750

56,350

56,950

57,620

58,240

58,890

59,530

60,230

60,910

61,580

62,270

62,980

63,730

64,390

17%

Page updated: Friday, May 19, 2006