Statistical Bulletin HSG/2002/4 - Household Projections for Scotland: 2000-Based

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Household Projections for Scotland:2000-Based

5) Analysis of the 2000-Based Household Projections for Scotland

The household projections were produced for seven different household types - those shown in table 2. In some sections, where further breakdowns by age group or local authority are considered, these categories have been grouped. In section 5.4, five main groupings are used, and in section 5.5 four groupings. Section 5.1 also groups to four main categories for summary purposes.

5.1 Summary Information for Scotland (Table 1)

In this section four groupings of household type are used: 1 adult, 2 or more adults, 1 adult with child(ren) and 2 or more adults with child(ren).

The number of households in Scotland is projected to increase by 12 per cent (260,000) from 2.20 million in 2000 to 2.46 million in 2014.

There were an estimated 733,000 one adult households in 2000, 33 per cent of all households. These are projected to increase to 969,000 by the year 2014, and account for 39 per cent of all households.

The private household population is projected to fall from 5.01 million in 2000 to 4.91 million in 2014, in line with the projected fall in total population.

The average household size is projected to fall, from 2.27 persons in 2000 to 2.00 persons in 2014.

The projections indicate a 32 per cent increase in one adult households between 2000 and 2014, a 30 per cent increase in households with one adult with child(ren), a 36 per cent decrease in households which have two or more adults with child(ren) and a 15 per cent increase in households with two or more adults.

Chart 4: Household Types Breakdown: 2000 and 2014 Projections

2000
2014
pie chart
pie chart

Table 1: Summary Information for Scotland

Summary
Information

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Difference
2000 - 2014

All (Total) Households

No.

2,203,160

2,222,100

2,239,470

2,257,310

2,276,310

2,294,620

2,313,210

2,332,380

2,351,940

2,370,450

2,389,290

2,407,810

2,426,080

2,444,700

2,461,740

258,580

%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

12%

1 adult

No.

732,790

748,870

764,560

780,350

796,850

813,280

829,610

847,320

864,940

882,140

899,150

916,180

934,440

952,390

969,380

236,590

%

33%

34%

34%

35%

35%

35%

36%

36%

37%

37%

38%

38%

39%

39%

39%

32%

1 adult with child(ren)

No.

149,530

153,390

156,840

160,180

163,600

166,910

170,030

173,260

176,590

179,740

182,840

185,920

188,860

191,820

194,340

44,810

%

7%

7%

7%

7%

7%

7%

7%

7%

8%

8%

8%

8%

8%

8%

8%

30%

2 or more adults with child(ren)

No.

436,080

426,690

415,190

403,810

392,320

380,880

369,560

357,430

345,230

333,010

321,220

310,170

298,570

287,470

276,930

-159,150

%

20%

19%

19%

18%

17%

17%

16%

15%

15%

14%

13%

13%

12%

12%

11%

-36%

2 or more adults

No.

884,770

893,160

902,880

912,980

923,530

933,540

944,010

954,380

965,180

975,550

986,080

995,530

1,004,220

1,013,030

1,021,090

136,320

%

40%

40%

40%

40%

41%

41%

41%

41%

41%

41%

41%

41%

41%

41%

41%

15%

Pivate Household Population

No.

5,008,335

5,001,934

4,994,825

4,988,845

4,982,873

4,975,767

4,968,830

4,961,699

4,954,721

4,947,731

4,940,841

4,933,913

4,926,917

4,919,888

4,912,693

-95,642

Average (mean) Household Size

No.

2.27

2.25

2.23

2.21

2.19

2.17

2.15

2.13

2.11

2.09

2.07

2.05

2.03

2.01

2.00

-0.28

Page updated: Friday, May 19, 2006