Scottish Government

PAROLE BOARD DECISIONS AND RELEASE OUTCOMES

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Linda Hutton
Research Consultant
and
Dr Liz Levy
Central Research Unit

The Scottish Executive Central
Research Unit 2002

CONTENTS

List of Tables
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION
BACKGROUND
AIMS AND OBJECTIVES OF THE
RESEARCH
CHAPTER 2: THE SAMPLE
SAMPLING CRITERIA
DATA SOURCES
SAMPLE ATTRITION
CHARACTERISTICS OF THE SAMPLE
CHAPTER 3: DIFFERENCES IN THE
CHARACTERISTICS OF PAROLEES
AND NON-PAROLEES
NATURE OF INDEX CONVICTION
POST-RELEASE CONDITIONS
AGE OF OFFENDER
SENTENCE LENGTH
CHAPTER 4: RELEASE OUTCOMES
DEFINING 'SUCCESS' AND 'FAILURE'
RELEASE OUTCOMES
NATURE OF FAILURE
SERIOUSNESS OF RECONVICTION
TIME TO FAILURE
CHAPTER 5: CHARACTERISTICS
ASSOCIATED WITH OUTCOME
CHAPTER 6: 'FALSE POSITIVE'
DECISIONS AND 'FALSE NEGATIVE'
DECISIONS
SUMMARY OF FINDINGS:
'FALSE OUTCOMES' FACTORS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE DECISION
MAKING PROCESS IN 'FALSE'
OUTCOMES COMPARISON OF 'FALSE'
AND 'TRUE' OUTCOMES
CHAPTER 7: SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
APPENDICES
APPENDIX A: RECONVICTIONS OF
WHICH THE JUSTICE DEPARTMENT/PAROLE
BOARD WERE UNAWARE
APPENDIX B: CLASSIFICATIONS OF SUCCESS
AND FAILURE