This item was published during the term of a previous administration that ended in April 2007
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Manufacturing Exports estimates Q1 2003
09/07/2003
Seasonally adjusted export sales by Scotland's manufacturing sector rose by 2.4 per cent in current prices to £3.384 billion in the first quarter of 2003, but declined, in real terms, by 3.4%, according to provisional estimates released today.
Scottish Manufactured Exports - 1995-2003 Q1
Year | Quarter | Scottish Manufactured Exports At 1995 Prices (£ Billion) | Scottish Manufactured Exports At Current Prices (£ Billion) |
1995 | | 15.883 | 15.883 |
1996 | | 16.914 | 16.636 |
1997 | | 19.193 | 17.744 |
1998 | | 20.729 | 18.064 |
1999 | | 22.446 | 18.497 |
2000 | | 24.004 | 18.274 |
2001 | | 25.078 | 18.605 |
2002 | | 18.705 | 14.553 |
| | | |
2000 | 1 | 5.533 | 4.301 |
| 2 | 5.866 | 4.507 |
| 3 | 6.170 | 4.641 |
| 4 | 6.436 | 4.824 |
| | | |
2001 | 1 | 6.702 | 4.913 |
| 2 | 6.496 | 4.763 |
| 3 | 6.401 | 4.734 |
| 4 | 5.479 | 4.194 |
| | | |
2002 | 1 | 5.042 | 3.965 |
| 2 | 4.823 | 3.786 |
| 3 | 4.553 | 3.497 |
| 4 | 4.288 | 3.305 |
| | | |
2003 | 1 | 4.143 | 3.384 |
% chg latest qtr | | |
on preceding qtr | -3.4% | 2.4% |
% chg latest 4 qtrs | | |
on preceding 4 qtrs | -24.0% | -20.9% |
The main findings are:
- Manufactured export sales decreased by 24.0 per cent in real terms (constant prices) in the year to 2003 Q1, compared with the previous 4 quarters. In current prices, there was a decrease of 20.9 per cent.
- In 2003 Q1, manufactured export sales decreased by 3.4 per cent in real terms, compared with the previous quarter. In current prices, there was an increase of 2.4 per cent.
- Over the year to 2003 Q1, the following sectors experienced constant price increases in the level of exports compared with the previous 4 quarters (to 2002 Q1): Metals and Metal Products (64 per cent); Transport Equipment (15 per cent); Drink (7 per cent); Chemicals and Manmade Fibres (6 per cent) and Food and Tobacco (5 per cent).
- Over the year to 2003 Q1, a number of sectors recorded a decrease in the level of exports (in constant prices) compared with the previous 4 quarters (to 2002 Q1). These were: Electrical & Instrument Engineering (40 per cent); Paper, Printing and Publishing (20 per cent); Textiles, Footwear, Leather and Clothing (8 per cent); Mechanical Engineering (7 per cent) and Other Manufacturing (7 per cent).
- The Electrical & Instrument Engineering industry represents the largest share of Scottish manufactured exports, accounting for 39 per cent of exports in 2003 Q1 (£1.336bn in current prices). The decline in the level of exports in this sector since the beginning of 2001 has been the major driver in the decrease in the level of total manufactured exports.
- The Chemicals and Manmade Fibres sector is the second largest in volume terms after E&IE. The increase of 6.1% in real terms over the quarter to 2003 Q1 brings the level of exports in this industry to its highest level since 1995.
- Exports of Metals and Metal Products have continued to grow strongly since 2001. The constant price value of exports in this sector is now double what it was in early 2001.
Estimates of Scottish Manufactured Exports are compiled on the standard industrial classification UKSIC(2003). Implemented on 1 st January 2003, UKSIC(2003) is a minor revision to UKSIC(92), in line with the latest revision of the European Union classification system.
The data presented for Scottish Manufactured Exports measure sales of goods produced by the Scottish Manufacturing sector for export outwith the UK. The Office for National Statistics collects the data used to produce these figures in their Monthly Production Inquiry. The data are deflated to 1995 prices using UK export producer price indices, which are also produced by the ONS.
The data are seasonally adjusted. The basic series that are seasonally adjusted are Textiles, Footwear, Leather & Clothing, Drink, Food and Tobacco, Electrical & Instrument Engineering and Other Manufacturing Industries. This means that direct comparison between successive quarters is possible for these industries and the combined series. OCEA have developed systems to seasonally adjust the series in line with standard National Statistics practice.
Estimates of Scottish Manufactured Exports are based on a sample of around 700 Scottish manufacturing exporters in an average quarter. This sample covers all sizes of unit across the manufacturing sector.
The data published in this news release are based on 1995 prices and current prices. There have been some revisions to the estimates published on 9 April 2003. These revisions have mainly been caused by the availability of updated information for some sectors, small changes in the seasonal factors and methodological improvements to the Food, Drink and Tobacco series. Tables 5-8 show revisions to the estimates previously published. cover the manufacturing sector. The Scottish Development International sponsored annual estimates of total exports from Scotland produced by SCDI, indicate that the manufacturing sector accounted for 64 per cent of all exports from Scotland in 2001.
Provisional figures for Scottish Manufactured Exports in 2003 Q2 are scheduled to be published on Wednesday 8 October 2003.
National Statistics are produced to high professional standards set out in the National Statistics Code of Practice. They undergo regular quality assurance reviews to ensure that they meet customer needs. They are produced free from any political interference.